Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects
All topics →- 21 March 2027 – 16 March 2032Canadian Pacific RailwaySM36667 · approved 3 June 2025
- 10 April 2027 – 18 November 2030Hullmark Asset ManagementSM37575 · approved 17 April 2026
- 24 April 2027 – 2 December 2030ClearwaySM37611 · approved 1 May 2026
- 24 April 2027 – 23 November 2030G&S Group of CompaniesSM37480 · approved 10 March 2026
- 24 April 2027 – 23 November 2030G&S Group of CompaniesSM37481 · approved 10 March 2026
- 24 April 2027 – 23 November 2030G&S Group of CompaniesSM37482 · approved 10 March 2026
- 24 April 2027 – 23 November 2030G&S Group of CompaniesSM37483 · approved 10 March 2026
- 30 April 2027 – 8 December 2030WGD ConsultingSM37618 · approved 7 May 2026
- 13 May 2027 – 26 May 2032Pattison Outdoor AdvertisingSM37007 · approved 1 October 2025
- 16 May 2027 – 15 December 2030Colliers Project LeadersSM37521 · approved 1 April 2026
- 15 June 2027 – 5 January 2030Lanterra DevelopmentsSM21920 · approved 8 June 2015
- 16 August 2027 – 28 October 2030First capital RealtySM27571 · approved 7 February 2019
12 of 17 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 17 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM36667 Tapscott Road and Morningside Avenue planning | Canadian Pacific Railway | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 3 June 2025 | 21 March 2027 to 16 March 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=19) |
| SM37575 General engagement - Municipal address of the property for which the application is being made is 1071 King Street West, Toronto | Hullmark Asset Management | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 17 April 2026 | 10 April 2027 to 18 November 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=29) |
| SM37611 Discussions regarding development of City's priority transit projects | Clearway | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 1 May 2026 | 24 April 2027 to 2 December 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=29) |
| SM37480 Sheppard West Subway Extension (Line 4 Extension) and station locations. | G&S Group of Companies | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 10 March 2026 | 24 April 2027 to 23 November 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=28) |
| SM37481 Sheppard West Subway Extension (Line 4 Extension) and station locations | G&S Group of Companies | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 10 March 2026 | 24 April 2027 to 23 November 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=28) |
| SM37482 Sheppard West Subway Extension (Line 4 Extension) and station locations | G&S Group of Companies | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 10 March 2026 | 24 April 2027 to 23 November 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=28) |
| SM37483 Sheppard West Subway Extension (Line 4 Extension) and station locations | G&S Group of Companies | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 10 March 2026 | 24 April 2027 to 23 November 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=28) |
| SM37618 Introduce an elevated waterfront transit concept with City of Toronto officials as potential alternative/complement to existing waterfront transit plans, includes opportunities related to mobility, connectivity, economic | WGD Consulting | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 7 May 2026 | 30 April 2027 to 8 December 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=29) |
| SM37007 Transit expansion related advertising | Pattison Outdoor Advertising | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 1 October 2025 | 13 May 2027 to 26 May 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=21) |
| SM37521 Discussions with the City regarding planning and delivery of transit related projects. | Colliers Project Leaders | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 1 April 2026 | 16 May 2027 to 15 December 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=28) |
| SM21920 4000 Eglinton Avenue West (Plant World Site) | Lanterra Developments | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 8 June 2015 | 15 June 2027 to 5 January 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=23) |
| SM27571 Toronto/Metrolinx bridge to connect 1100 King St. W to 85 Hanna Avenue. | First capital Realty | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 7 February 2019 | 16 August 2027 to 28 October 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=80) |
| SM33248 How to digitally engage with stakeholders of important infrastructure projects. | Spatial Media | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 19 May 2022 | 26 January 2028 to 10 April 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=206) |
| SM34697 Adoption of a policy or resolution supporting the provision of passenger rail service in Canada by publicly-owned Via Rail as an important component of economic development | Unifor | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 8 August 2023 | 16 February 2028 to 26 October 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=11) |
| SM34814 2911 Eglinton Avenue East | SmartCentres REIT | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 18 September 2023 | 28 March 2028 to 6 December 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=11) |
| SM36237 To discuss the potential development at our site 5 Cheviot Place, Etobicoke. | Starlight Investments | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 3 January 2025 | 17 October 2028 to 29 October 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=14) |
| SM35643 Communications with public office holders regarding provision of consulting and operational services (solutions) for transportation infrastructure projects, as well as recommendations regarding the City’s priorities in t | Hitachi Rail Canada Inc. | Transit expansion and Metrolinx projects | 10 June 2024 | 25 October 2028 to 10 August 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=12) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.