Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Arts, culture and events
All topics →- 19 December 2026 – 11 December 2028SolunaSM37748 · approved 16 July 2026
- 1 April 2027 – 12 January 2030TelusSM21477 · approved 25 February 2015
- 28 August 2027 – 18 November 2031Institute of Canadian AgenciesSM36900 · approved 20 August 2025
- 28 August 2027 – 21 October 2030Red Bull CanadaSM28236 · approved 23 May 2019
- 17 September 2027 – 4 December 2031Magazines CanadaSM36598 · approved 1 May 2025
- 23 September 2027 – 20 October 2030Kashamara ProductionsSM31297 · approved 22 February 2021
- 14 October 2027 – 5 October 2031Toronto Outdoor Picture ShowSM35702 · approved 24 June 2024
- 16 October 2027 – 29 July 2031TelusSM34748 · approved 23 August 2023
Data table· 8 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37748 Arts and culture infrastructure. Hi, my client produces festivals and is rapidly growing. There is zero affordable / available infrastructure in the city that can cater to independent producers that can scale 3000+ perso | Soluna | Arts, culture and events | 16 July 2026 | 19 December 2026 to 11 December 2028 from this topic's lead times (n=14) |
| SM21477 Discuss annual day of community service for members of the TELUS team in Toronto. | Telus | Arts, culture and events | 25 February 2015 | 1 April 2027 to 12 January 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=21) |
| SM36900 Support, including financial, of the advertising, marketing, media, and PR agency sector in Toronto. Including, grants, sponsorships, speaking engagement and round table discussions. | Institute of Canadian Agencies | Arts, culture and events | 20 August 2025 | 28 August 2027 to 18 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=522) |
| SM28236 Informing government about Red Bull's commitment to arts, culture and sport in the City of Toronto | Red Bull Canada | Arts, culture and events | 23 May 2019 | 28 August 2027 to 21 October 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=87) |
| SM36598 Programs and policies supporting local magazine publishers. | Magazines Canada | Arts, culture and events | 1 May 2025 | 17 September 2027 to 4 December 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=477) |
| SM31297 Kashamara Productions would like to work with the City of Toronto on arts and entertainment initiatives in order to bolster the city during and after the pandemic. This includes exciting new projects that would also work | Kashamara Productions | Arts, culture and events | 22 February 2021 | 23 September 2027 to 20 October 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=161) |
| SM35702 Logistical and operational support for the Toronto Outdoor Picture Show | Toronto Outdoor Picture Show | Arts, culture and events | 24 June 2024 | 14 October 2027 to 5 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=365) |
| SM34748 Communicate about the many TELUS charitable initiatives, including the Future Friendly Foundation bursaries. | Telus | Arts, culture and events | 23 August 2023 | 16 October 2027 to 29 July 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=288) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.