Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands
All topics →- 9 January 2027 – 28 February 2031Redpath Sugar Ltd.SM37488 · approved 12 March 2026
- 9 January 2027 – 28 February 2031Jetti IncSM37491 · approved 12 March 2026
- 17 March 2027 – 28 January 2032Redpath Sugar Ltd.SM36791 · approved 14 July 2025
- 18 March 2027 – 7 May 2031WGD ConsultingSM37629 · approved 19 May 2026
- 9 April 2027 – 29 May 2031Watts Accessibility ConsultingSM37710 · approved 10 June 2026
- 16 June 2027 – 14 March 2030Pier 27 Toronto (North) Inc.SM37889 · approved 25 August 2026
- 25 June 2027 – 10 July 2029Redpath Sugar Ltd.SM37928 · approved 10 September 2026
- 5 August 2027 – 26 May 2030Diamante Development CorporationSM26113 · approved 26 April 2018
- 20 August 2027 – 1 October 2030Diamond CorpSM28818 · approved 5 September 2019
- 20 August 2027 – 5 November 2030Minto Communities Inc.SM27007 · approved 13 November 2018
- 24 August 2027 – 18 June 2030The Cadillac Fairview Corporation LimitedSM29686 · approved 3 February 2020
- 22 September 2027 – 2 November 2030Concord AdexSM31140 · approved 19 January 2021
12 of 21 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 21 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37488 Ongoing operations at the 95 Queens Quay East facility | Redpath Sugar Ltd. | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 12 March 2026 | 9 January 2027 to 28 February 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=23) |
| SM37491 Use and regulation of rental PWC's along Toronto's waterfront | Jetti Inc | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 12 March 2026 | 9 January 2027 to 28 February 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=23) |
| SM36791 Ongoing operations at their facilities at 95 Queens Quay East | Redpath Sugar Ltd. | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 14 July 2025 | 17 March 2027 to 28 January 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=14) |
| SM37629 Introduce elevated waterfront transit concept with City of Toronto officials as a potential alternative or complement to existing waterfront transit plans, including opportunities related to mobility, connectivity, econo | WGD Consulting | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 19 May 2026 | 18 March 2027 to 7 May 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=23) |
| SM37710 Discuss Beach, Park, Waterfront, & Tourism Accessibility, Access, Mobility Facilitation in the Great Outdoors & Adventure in the City of TORONTO. Presenting the most innovative, cost-effective products, services, solutio | Watts Accessibility Consulting | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 10 June 2026 | 9 April 2027 to 29 May 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=23) |
| SM37889 Matters relating to development approvals for the lands municipally identified as 25 and 35 Queens Quay East | Pier 27 Toronto (North) Inc. | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 25 August 2026 | 16 June 2027 to 14 March 2030 from this topic's lead times (n=26) |
| SM37928 Ongoing operations at the 95 Queens Quay East facility | Redpath Sugar Ltd. | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 10 September 2026 | 25 June 2027 to 10 July 2029 from this topic's lead times (n=28) |
| SM26113 Assisting with development of 1926 Lakeshore Boulevard West. | Diamante Development Corporation | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 26 April 2018 | 5 August 2027 to 26 May 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=62) |
| SM28818 Potential Redevelopment Discussions re 200 Queen's Quay West | Diamond Corp | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 5 September 2019 | 20 August 2027 to 1 October 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=95) |
| SM27007 Proposed development of 3526 Lake Shore Blvd. West and related activities. | Minto Communities Inc. | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 13 November 2018 | 20 August 2027 to 5 November 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=73) |
| SM29686 East Harbour Development lands | The Cadillac Fairview Corporation Limited | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 3 February 2020 | 24 August 2027 to 18 June 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=113) |
| SM31140 Block 9/10 Under Gardiner PART OF LOT 20, INDEX PLAN D970, DESIGNATED AS PARTS 6 AND 7, PLAN 66R15355, SAVE AND EXCEPT PARTS 6 AND 24, PLAN 66R16838, PARTS 1, 2, 5 AND 6 PLAN 66R24004, AND PARTS 1, 2, AND 3, PLAN 66R2486 | Concord Adex | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 19 January 2021 | 22 September 2027 to 2 November 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=152) |
| SM34354 Mount Pleasant Groups lands and operations within the City of Toronto. | Mount Pleasant Group | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 6 April 2023 | 4 November 2027 to 25 June 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=261) |
| SM34998 Ongoing operations at Bluffers Park Marina | Bluffers Park Marina Limite | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 7 November 2023 | 20 November 2027 to 13 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=302) |
| SM34951 Quayside (257-259 and 291 Lakeshore Boulevard Street East, 333 Lakeshore Boulevard Street East) | Dream Asset Management Corporation | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 25 October 2023 | 20 November 2027 to 5 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=298) |
| SM34555 Introducing Pinnacle as the new owners of the site. 215 Lakeshore Ave. East | Mondiale Development LTD. | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 16 June 2023 | 25 November 2027 to 23 June 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=273) |
| SM31948 Block 7 - 1001 Sheppard Avenue East Block 11 - 35 McMahon Drive Block 15 - 40 Esther Shiner Blvd. | Concord Adex | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 28 June 2021 | 25 November 2027 to 21 January 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=169) |
| SM32598 East Harbour Development lands | The Cadillac Fairview Corporation Limited | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 24 November 2021 | 4 December 2027 to 16 February 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=186) |
| SM32599 East Harbour Development lands | The Cadillac Fairview Corporation Limited | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 24 November 2021 | 4 December 2027 to 16 February 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=186) |
| SM22798 To discuss potential approaches to and form of redevelopment of property including any or all of the Intercontinental Hotel, the Metro Toronto Convention Centre, 277 Front Street, 315 Front Street, and 325 Front Street. | OPGI Management GP Inc. | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 19 February 2016 | 17 January 2028 to 19 May 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=26) |
| SM18742 Ongoing opertations at their facilities at 95 Queens Quay East | Redpath Sugar Ltd. | Waterfront revitalization and Port Lands | 3 December 2012 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.