Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Tourism, hotels and attractions
All topics →- 12 February 2027 – 23 November 2029Aquatic Designs & Engineering, Div. of DEI & Associates Inc.SM37944 · approved 24 September 2026
- 13 February 2027 – 30 December 2029The Cadillac Fairview Corporation LimitedSM37930 · approved 10 September 2026
- 13 March 2027 – 22 January 2031The Cadillac Fairview Corporation LimitedSM37486 · approved 12 March 2026
- 30 March 2027 – 10 January 2030The Cadillac Fairview Corporation LimitedSM21470 · approved 23 February 2015
- 31 July 2027 – 12 December 2030Mount Pleasant Group of CemeteriesSM24672 · approved 6 June 2017
- 15 September 2027 – 26 November 2031Dream Asset Management CorporationSM36504 · approved 3 April 2025
- 17 October 2027 – 28 July 2031Ontario Restaurant Hotel & Motel AssociationSM34741 · approved 22 August 2023
- 4 November 2027 – 3 February 2031Ramp CommunicationsSM32047 · approved 21 July 2021
- 23 November 2027 – 14 September 2031UniforSM35205 · approved 11 January 2024
Data table· 9 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37944 Best industry practices and recommendations for Aquatics (Swimming pools) | Aquatic Designs & Engineering, Div. of DEI & Associates Inc. | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 24 September 2026 | 12 February 2027 to 23 November 2029 from all topics' lead times (n=1,140) |
| SM37930 Ongoing operations at 220 Yonge Street | The Cadillac Fairview Corporation Limited | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 10 September 2026 | 13 February 2027 to 30 December 2029 from all topics' lead times (n=1,093) |
| SM37486 Ongoing operations at 220 Yonge Street | The Cadillac Fairview Corporation Limited | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 12 March 2026 | 13 March 2027 to 22 January 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=748) |
| SM21470 Ongoing Operations 220 Yonge Street | The Cadillac Fairview Corporation Limited | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 23 February 2015 | 30 March 2027 to 10 January 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=21) |
| SM24672 Mount Pleasant Cemeteries lands and operations | Mount Pleasant Group of Cemeteries | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 6 June 2017 | 31 July 2027 to 12 December 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=46) |
| SM36504 Distillery District Winter Village | Dream Asset Management Corporation | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 3 April 2025 | 15 September 2027 to 26 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=468) |
| SM34741 Concerned with city approving new revenue tools such as parking and beverage alcohol which will have a devastating impact for restaurants and all hospitality businesses. | Ontario Restaurant Hotel & Motel Association | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 22 August 2023 | 17 October 2027 to 28 July 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=287) |
| SM32047 to introduce our services to the city | Ramp Communications | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 21 July 2021 | 4 November 2027 to 3 February 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=171) |
| SM35205 Developing a program to protect and preserve Toronto's hotel room capacity, including the ongoing monitoring of hotel room stock and the possible impacts of hotel-to-residential conversions and proposed hotel development | Unifor | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 11 January 2024 | 23 November 2027 to 14 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=317) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.