Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Signs and outdoor advertising
All topics →- 10 June 2027 – 10 April 2031Pattison Outdoor AdvertisingSM37096 · approved 28 October 2025
- 22 June 2027 – 19 March 2031Cristian DzekoSM37972 · approved 1 October 2026
- 9 July 2027 – 24 August 2031Sussex Permitting and Development GroupSM37579 · approved 21 April 2026
- 13 July 2027 – 30 August 2030Pattison Outdoor AdvertisingSM30143 · approved 2 June 2020
- 14 July 2027 – 14 May 2031Starr Door & Window CompanySM37199 · approved 1 December 2025
- 24 July 2027 – 11 June 2031Target Outdoor Billboard CorpSM37835 · approved 4 August 2026
- 26 August 2027 – 11 May 2030Pattison Outdoor AdvertisingSM26004 · approved 6 April 2018
- 2 September 2027 – 27 October 2031Rec Media Inc.SM36945 · approved 18 September 2025
- 6 September 2027 – 6 October 2031RioCan REITSM36188 · approved 13 December 2024
- 17 September 2027 – 5 August 2031Ooda SoftwaresSM37947 · approved 28 September 2026
- 18 September 2027 – 3 December 20312709530 Ontario Inc.SM36597 · approved 30 April 2025
- 20 September 2027 – 21 November 2031Yong JoSM36467 · approved 28 March 2025
12 of 13 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 13 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37096 Work with Pattison Outdoor Advertising on the existing contracts with TTC to maximize non-fare revenue by determining the appropriate model and method available to deliver this service. | Pattison Outdoor Advertising | Signs and outdoor advertising | 28 October 2025 | 10 June 2027 to 10 April 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=11) |
| SM37972 Will assist client while he seeks approvals for Special Event third-party sign approvals at 135 Fenelon Drive. | Cristian Dzeko | Signs and outdoor advertising | 1 October 2026 | 22 June 2027 to 19 March 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=15) |
| SM37579 Discussions with City officials about signage policy and opportunities in the City of Toronto. | Sussex Permitting and Development Group | Signs and outdoor advertising | 21 April 2026 | 9 July 2027 to 24 August 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=12) |
| SM30143 Transit advertising contract between Pattison Outdoor Advertising and the Toronto Transit Commission | Pattison Outdoor Advertising | Signs and outdoor advertising | 2 June 2020 | 13 July 2027 to 30 August 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=127) |
| SM37199 Will help Starr Door & Window Company with their third-party sign application at 1276 Ellesmere Road, Scarborough. | Starr Door & Window Company | Signs and outdoor advertising | 1 December 2025 | 14 July 2027 to 14 May 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=11) |
| SM37835 Proposed Electronic third party sign at 1745 Albion Rd Toronto Ontario | Target Outdoor Billboard Corp | Signs and outdoor advertising | 4 August 2026 | 24 July 2027 to 11 June 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=14) |
| SM26004 Discussions regarding general signage matters | Pattison Outdoor Advertising | Signs and outdoor advertising | 6 April 2018 | 26 August 2027 to 11 May 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=61) |
| SM36945 To discuss static (rink boards, wall boards, framed posters, and wall murals) and digital (rolling advertisements on digital displays) advertising. | Rec Media Inc. | Signs and outdoor advertising | 18 September 2025 | 2 September 2027 to 27 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=544) |
| SM36188 2300 Yonge Street | RioCan REIT | Signs and outdoor advertising | 13 December 2024 | 6 September 2027 to 6 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=425) |
| SM37947 Ooda Softwares seeks approval to assess selected Green P locations and negotiate an agreement to install and manage digital advertising displays, subject to procurement rules, permits, technical feasibility and final ter | Ooda Softwares | Signs and outdoor advertising | 28 September 2026 | 17 September 2027 to 5 August 2031 from this topic's lead times (n=14) |
| SM36597 Signage opportunities related to FIFA World Cup 2026 | 2709530 Ontario Inc. | Signs and outdoor advertising | 30 April 2025 | 18 September 2027 to 3 December 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=476) |
| SM36467 Will assist owner of 283 Spadina with sign application. | Yong Jo | Signs and outdoor advertising | 28 March 2025 | 20 September 2027 to 21 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=463) |
| SM32343 Use and deployment of digital signage as a communications tool. | Capital Networks Limited | Signs and outdoor advertising | 17 September 2021 | 12 November 2027 to 9 February 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=179) |
How well the window has worked
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.