Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Policing and community safety
All topics →- 23 April 2027 – 10 May 203113797953 Canada Inc.SM37364 · approved 28 January 2026
- 26 May 2027 – 20 August 2031Goldmark Security Consulting Inc.SM37254 · approved 29 December 2025
- 1 July 2027 – 23 August 2031MedicAlert Foundation CanadaSM37177 · approved 21 November 2025
- 16 October 2027 – 7 September 2031S&K Lock and Security Solutions Ltd.SM35557 · approved 6 May 2024
- 23 October 2027 – 16 September 2031Wal-Mart Canada Corp.SM35617 · approved 23 May 2024
- 26 November 2027 – 14 February 2031Axon Public Safety Canada, Inc.SM32632 · approved 29 November 2021
Data table· 6 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37364 Seeking support for a 3-year long-term pilot and implementation phase of the AI-powered mPERS system in Scarborough North to establish a sustainable community safety network for seniors. | 13797953 Canada Inc. | Policing and community safety | 28 January 2026 | 23 April 2027 to 10 May 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=675) |
| SM37254 Security Management and Security Technology Advisory Services | Goldmark Security Consulting Inc. | Policing and community safety | 29 December 2025 | 26 May 2027 to 20 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=641) |
| SM37177 MedicAlert requests the City of Toronto’s support in advancing the Toronto Police Service’s transition of the Vulnerable Persons Registry (VPR) to MedicAlert to strengthen public safety outcomes for vulnerable residents. | MedicAlert Foundation Canada | Policing and community safety | 21 November 2025 | 1 July 2027 to 23 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=605) |
| SM35557 At S&K, we strive to elevate the standard of security solutions, ensuring peace of mind for our clients. We're more than just locksmiths; we're your security partners. Rooted in excellence and driven by the desire to pro | S&K Lock and Security Solutions Ltd. | Policing and community safety | 6 May 2024 | 16 October 2027 to 7 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=355) |
| SM35617 Communicate with government on licensing matters and enhancing police support to combat retail crime. | Wal-Mart Canada Corp. | Policing and community safety | 23 May 2024 | 23 October 2027 to 16 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=358) |
| SM32632 Introduce Axon Public Safety Canada, Inc's products and services to the City of Toronto. | Axon Public Safety Canada, Inc. | Policing and community safety | 29 November 2021 | 26 November 2027 to 14 February 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=188) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.