Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Long-term care and seniors' services
All topics →- 10 February 2027 – 3 July 2027Shepherd Village Inc.SM37893 · approved 28 August 2026
- 24 February 2027 – 3 July 2027Niuz CorporationSM37923 · approved 21 September 2026
- 26 February 2027 – 5 July 2027Shepherd Village Inc.SM37948 · approved 23 September 2026
- 28 February 2027 – 7 July 2027Pures College of TechnologySM37951 · approved 25 September 2026
- 12 July 2027 – 18 August 2031JODAL Health Care, Inc.SM37112 · approved 13 November 2025
- 23 August 2027 – 4 November 2031Verve Senior LivingSM36807 · approved 22 July 2025
- 31 August 2027 – 19 November 2031iPartner Consulting IncSM36841 · approved 6 August 2025
- 31 August 2027 – 12 November 2031Express Home Care Services IncSM36829 · approved 30 July 2025
- 6 September 2027 – 21 October 2031Motagies Health CareSM36973 · approved 25 September 2025
- 9 September 2027 – 18 November 2031FOS ConsultingSM36729 · approved 18 June 2025
- 11 September 2027 – 3 December 2031Garrison CareSM36696 · approved 3 July 2025
- 21 September 2027 – 1 December 2031Verve Senior LivingSM36516 · approved 9 April 2025
12 of 17 shown as cards; all are in the data table.
Data table· 17 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37893 To discuss Shepherd Village’s campus-wide redevelopment | Shepherd Village Inc. | Long-term care and seniors' services | 28 August 2026 | 10 February 2027 to 3 July 2027 from this topic's lead times (n=11) |
| SM37923 Looking to provide our staff communication app, Niuz, to long-term care and retirement homes. We've had several leaders of these homes inquire about our tool, but are unable to procure it without the proper lobbying chan | Niuz Corporation | Long-term care and seniors' services | 21 September 2026 | 24 February 2027 to 3 July 2027 from this topic's lead times (n=12) |
| SM37948 To discuss Shepherd Village's campus-wide redevelopment | Shepherd Village Inc. | Long-term care and seniors' services | 23 September 2026 | 26 February 2027 to 5 July 2027 from this topic's lead times (n=12) |
| SM37951 Pures College is looking at opportunities to help the City of Toronto with its health human resource challenges. We have a personal support worker program and are interested in creating job opportunities for our graduate | Pures College of Technology | Long-term care and seniors' services | 25 September 2026 | 28 February 2027 to 7 July 2027 from this topic's lead times (n=12) |
| SM37112 JODAL advocates for fair access to government contracts for licensed temporary health staffing agencies providing qualified PSWs, DSWs, and support staff to Ontario’s health and community sectors. | JODAL Health Care, Inc. | Long-term care and seniors' services | 13 November 2025 | 12 July 2027 to 18 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=598) |
| SM36807 Discussions pertaining to site located at 905 Don Mills Rd | Verve Senior Living | Long-term care and seniors' services | 22 July 2025 | 23 August 2027 to 4 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=512) |
| SM36841 Seeking to discuss healthcare and long term care service delivery, staffing solutions, workforce technology, transportation support, service modernization, and future procurement opportunities supporting City programs an | iPartner Consulting Inc | Long-term care and seniors' services | 6 August 2025 | 31 August 2027 to 19 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=513) |
| SM36829 Introduce Express Home Care Services Inc. to the City of Toronto, offering qualified PSWs, DSWs, and CYWs. We’re currently looking to partner with organizations or agencies who may need dedicated, compassionate and profe | Express Home Care Services Inc | Long-term care and seniors' services | 30 July 2025 | 31 August 2027 to 12 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=512) |
| SM36973 “Introduce Motagies Health Care’s staffing services (RNs, PSWs, DSWs) to the City of Toronto for procurement opportunities and provide input on staffing policies, service delivery models, and contract decisions in health | Motagies Health Care | Long-term care and seniors' services | 25 September 2025 | 6 September 2027 to 21 October 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=547) |
| SM36729 Discuss the services offered by FOS Consulting that may assist the City of Toronto in delivering program. FOS has significant experience in soft skills; leadership, communication, critical thinking, productivity improvem | FOS Consulting | Long-term care and seniors' services | 18 June 2025 | 9 September 2027 to 18 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=498) |
| SM36696 Seeking City support to expand access to tech-enabled home care, caregiver relief services, and digital literacy workshops for older adults. Exploring funding, partnership, or pilot opportunities to improve aging-at-home | Garrison Care | Long-term care and seniors' services | 3 July 2025 | 11 September 2027 to 3 December 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=501) |
| SM36516 Discussions pertaining to developing senior living residences in Toronto, including at 905 Don Mills Road | Verve Senior Living | Long-term care and seniors' services | 9 April 2025 | 21 September 2027 to 1 December 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=469) |
| SM36287 Discussions pertaining to a seniors development located at 905 Don Mills Road (ref: SM36173) | Verve Senior Living | Long-term care and seniors' services | 28 January 2025 | 22 September 2027 to 5 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=437) |
| SM36288 Discussions pertaining to a development project located at 3411-3429 Bloor Street West (ref: SM36178) | Verve Senior Living | Long-term care and seniors' services | 28 January 2025 | 22 September 2027 to 5 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=437) |
| SM36289 Discussions with city staff pertaining to the seniors development located at 462 Wellington Street West (ref: SM27909) | Verve Senior Living | Long-term care and seniors' services | 28 January 2025 | 22 September 2027 to 5 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=437) |
| SM35950 Take part in Seniors Services and Long-Term Care Supplier Day. | Savaria Patient Care | Long-term care and seniors' services | 20 September 2024 | 19 October 2027 to 13 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=390) |
| SM32147 DelManor Seniors discussion of potential sites. Not site specific at this time. | Deltera Inc. | Long-term care and seniors' services | 3 August 2021 | 12 November 2027 to 5 February 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=173) |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.