Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Grants and funding requests
All topics →- 11 February 2027 – 1 November 20291001403274 Ontario Inc -Broke Billionaire$ SocietySM37956 · approved 29 September 2026
- 12 July 2027 – 18 August 2031Scratch Coding for KidsSM37133 · approved 13 November 2025
- 16 September 2027 – 6 November 2031Dunya HabitatsSM36320 · approved 4 February 2025
- 19 October 2027 – 24 September 2031Cisco Systems Canada Co.SM35845 · approved 14 August 2024
Data table· 4 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37956 Request City support for a small pilot where Ontario Works participants take paid roles at Broke Billionaire$ Social Farming Project, a Toronto urban agriculture social enterprise, starting at one northwest site and expa | 1001403274 Ontario Inc -Broke Billionaire$ Society | Grants and funding requests | 29 September 2026 | 11 February 2027 to 1 November 2029 from all topics' lead times (n=1,157) |
| SM37133 To advocate for increased government support and funding for early STEM education, including coding and robotics programs in public schools and community centers. | Scratch Coding for Kids | Grants and funding requests | 13 November 2025 | 12 July 2027 to 18 August 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=598) |
| SM36320 We seek city support to pilot Dunya tinyFarm, a modular hydroponic system that enhances urban food security and sustainability. We request permits, procurement, and financial backing to install and evaluate the project, | Dunya Habitats | Grants and funding requests | 4 February 2025 | 16 September 2027 to 6 November 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=442) |
| SM35845 Cisco CSR initiatives: Cisco Networking Academies, working with TPL, Country Digital Acceleration (CDA) program, Cisco Digital Impact Office, etc. | Cisco Systems Canada Co. | Grants and funding requests | 14 August 2024 | 19 October 2027 to 24 September 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=379) |
How well the window has worked
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.