Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 0
- 0% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 0
- Registrations with a published link
2,066 open registrations without a linked item; 0 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 0 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 20 rows
| Month | Topic | New registrations | Previous 12-month average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | City fleet and electric vehicle charging | 3 | 0.5 |
| 2026-08 | Minor variances and consents (Committee of Adjustment) | 5 | 0.6 |
| 2026-08 | Rental housing demolition and conversion | 3 | 0.0 |
| 2026-08 | City-owned real estate and leases | 3 | 0.8 |
| 2026-07 | Long-term care and seniors' services | 6 | 1.2 |
| 2026-06 | Long-term care and seniors' services | 4 | 0.9 |
| 2026-04 | Energy supply and utilities | 6 | 2.0 |
| 2026-03 | Tourism, hotels and attractions | 6 | 0.8 |
| 2026-02 | Enterprise software and IT services | 8 | 2.0 |
| 2026-02 | Business improvement areas and main streets | 3 | 0.9 |
| 2026-01 | Rezoning and zoning by-law amendments | 25 | 10.2 |
| 2026-01 | Cycling, bike share and e-scooters | 3 | 0.4 |
| 2025-11 | Building permits and inspection | 8 | 1.8 |
| 2025-11 | Garbage, recycling and organics | 3 | 0.5 |
| 2025-11 | Parks, recreation and trees | 3 | 0.6 |
| 2025-11 | Child care | 3 | 0.4 |
| 2025-10 | Procurement of goods and equipment | 14 | 6.0 |
| 2025-10 | TTC operations and service | 6 | 1.2 |
| 2025-10 | Grants and funding requests | 4 | 0.3 |
| 2025-10 | Building permits and inspection | 4 | 1.5 |
Open registrations: Child care
All topics →- No window yetKids & CompanySM37441 · approved 26 February 2026
- No window yetBébé Station IncSM37426 · approved 23 February 2026
- No window yetChild Development InstituteSM37117 · approved 4 November 2025
- No window yetGerflor Canada Flooring Inc.SM36899 · approved 20 August 2025
- No window yetRBB Innovations Ltd.SM36724 · approved 7 July 2025
- No window yetWintergreen Learning Materials LtdSM36743 · approved 23 June 2025
Data table· 6 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37441 Engage with elected officials and City staff related to Kids & Co's daycares in Toronto participating in the Canada-Wide Early Learning & Child Care (CWELCC) program. | Kids & Company | Child care (from registry category) | 26 February 2026 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM37426 Bébé Station is dedicated to transforming the experience for breast/feeding mothers/families with young children. Our vision is to establish our lounges in spaces for nursing mothers can feel supported and welcomed at pa | Bébé Station Inc | Child care (from registry category) | 23 February 2026 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM37117 Supplementary Capital Funding application for additional safety infrastructure following multiple instances of shattered glass falling into play area. | Child Development Institute | Child care (from registry category) | 4 November 2025 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM36899 Promotion of floor and wall products for commercial, social housing and sport. | Gerflor Canada Flooring Inc. | Child care (from registry category) | 20 August 2025 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM36724 We are looking to collaborate with staff on child care capacity planning and expansion initiatives and how technology and services supports these initiatives. | RBB Innovations Ltd. | Child care (from registry category) | 7 July 2025 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
| SM36743 To introduce the goods and services of Wintergreen Learning Materials to the City of Toronto. | Wintergreen Learning Materials Ltd | Child care (from registry category) | 23 June 2025 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
How well the window has worked
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.