Early warning
Upcoming at council
Open lobbying registrations that are not yet linked to any council or committee agenda item, with an estimated window for when a linked item may appear, based on how long past registrations on the same topic took.
- With an estimated window
- 1,589
- 99% of open registrations
- Lead-time sample
- 1,207
- Registrations with a published link
1,609 open registrations without a linked item; 1,589 have an estimated window. Lead times are drawn from 1,207 registrations with a published link.
Open registrations by topic
Top 10Topic spikes in the last 12 months
New registrations vs previous 12-month averageData table· 26 rows
Open registrations: Business improvement areas and main streets
All topics →- 15 November 2026 – 18 January 2032Downtown Toronto Business Improvement Area AllianceSM37977 · approved 6 October 2026
- 15 November 2026 – 18 January 2032Downtown Toronto Business Improvement Area AllianceSM37978 · approved 6 October 2026
- 15 November 2026 – 18 January 2032Downtown Toronto Business Improvement Area AllianceSM37979 · approved 6 October 2026
- 15 November 2026 – 18 January 2032Downtown Toronto Business Improvement Area AllianceSM37980 · approved 6 October 2026
- 11 February 2027 – 25 October 2029Downtown Yonge Business Improvement AreaSM37969 · approved 1 October 2026
- 14 February 2027 – 7 January 2030CUBE84 IncSM37918 · approved 9 September 2026
- 28 March 2027 – 14 March 2031Capital Design FX Inc.SM37392 · approved 11 February 2026
- No window yetLoblaw Companies LtdSM13190 · approved 23 June 2009
Data table· 8 rows
| Registration | Client | Topic | Approved | Estimated window for a linked item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SM37977 Discussion regarding enhancements to downtown Toronto safety and wellbeing, congestion, and public realm. | Downtown Toronto Business Improvement Area Alliance | Business improvement areas and main streets | 6 October 2026 | 15 November 2026 to 18 January 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=10) |
| SM37978 Discussion regarding enhancements to downtown Toronto safety and wellbeing, congestion, and public realm. | Downtown Toronto Business Improvement Area Alliance | Business improvement areas and main streets | 6 October 2026 | 15 November 2026 to 18 January 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=10) |
| SM37979 Discussion regarding enhancements to downtown Toronto safety and wellbeing, congestion, and public realm. | Downtown Toronto Business Improvement Area Alliance | Business improvement areas and main streets | 6 October 2026 | 15 November 2026 to 18 January 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=10) |
| SM37980 Discussion regarding enhancements to downtown Toronto safety and wellbeing, congestion, and public realm. | Downtown Toronto Business Improvement Area Alliance | Business improvement areas and main streets | 6 October 2026 | 15 November 2026 to 18 January 2032 from this topic's lead times (n=10) |
| SM37969 On behalf of the Downtown Yonge BIA, coordinating meetings with Council candidates from Wards 11 and 13 regarding shared priorities and opportunities for collaboration. | Downtown Yonge Business Improvement Area | Business improvement areas and main streets | 1 October 2026 | 11 February 2027 to 25 October 2029 from all topics' lead times (n=1,172) |
| SM37918 Technology solutions for BIAs and city government. | CUBE84 Inc | Business improvement areas and main streets | 9 September 2026 | 14 February 2027 to 7 January 2030 from all topics' lead times (n=1,091) |
| SM37392 Helping Toronto BIA groups modernize member marketing with fast, secure, low-maintenance websites and lead-gen tools. | Capital Design FX Inc. | Business improvement areas and main streets | 11 February 2026 | 28 March 2027 to 14 March 2031 from all topics' lead times (n=699) |
| SM13190 Retail opening hours | Loblaw Companies Ltd | Business improvement areas and main streets | 23 June 2009 | No estimate: not enough published links with lead times yet |
How well the window has worked
—No registration could be evaluated in the backtest period.
Backtest on registrations whose first linked item fell between 1 December 2018 and 14 November 2022: no registration could be evaluated (0 of 0 evaluable; 0 registrations with a published first linked item in the period). Each window uses only lead times known before the registration was approved.
Method: iqr-conditional-v1: window = interquartile range of lead times known before approval (topic if n>=10, else pooled); hit when the first published linked item falls inside.
How the window is estimated
- Lead timeDays from a registration's approval to its first published linked agenda item.
- ConditionKeep past lead times longer than the days this registration has already waited.
- WindowThe middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of those lead times.
- Lead time is the number of days from a registration's initial approval date to the first agenda item it is linked to. Only published links count (model score 0.7 or higher).
- For an open registration with no linked item after d days, the window is the middle half (25th to 75th percentile) of the historical lead times longer than d, using its topic's lead times when the topic has at least 10, otherwise all topics together.
- A spike is a month whose new registrations exceed the topic's mean over the previous 12 months by more than 2 standard deviations (and at least 3 registrations). Monthly volumes use the topic from the registry's subject categories until the decision model has tagged at least 95% of registrations, so that months tagged by different methods are not compared.
- Topics come from the tracker's taxonomy, assigned by a decision model from the registration text. Until the model has run on a registration, the topic is taken from the registry's own subject category and marked as such.
A window is a statistical estimate from past registrations, not a prediction that council will consider the matter. Many registrations never lead to an agenda item.